PollQuant "Modeled" Poll of Polls - Presidential Election - Nov. 1, 2016

PollQuant Result

Day 1 Tracking (November 1, 2016)
Mrs. Clinton (46.85) leads Mr. Trump (44.50) by 2.35 points (4-Way)

Worth Knowing

1. How does PollQuant Poll of Polls differ from the other Poll of Polls? 
PollQuant models the national polls while the competition uses an average. 

2. Why is PollQuant Superior? 
Modeling reduces the impact of the divergent issues**, making the comparison apples-to-apples. PollQuant does not apply any judgment, instead lets the model decide.

3. Is PollQuant forward looking? 
No, it's backward-bending, with polls thru 10-31-2016.

4. Does PollQuant collect its own survey data? 
No, PollQuant models the outcomes and attributes of the national polls.

5. Does PollQuant model all the national polls? 
No, PollQuant models those within the most recent 4-to-7 day survey period. As we head into the poll, the time period will tighten.

6. What are the different issues that PollQuant attempts to handle? 
Here are some of the Issues** that PollQuant model tends to address:

--- Sample Size (750 vs. 3200) 

--- Sample Bias (over/under-sampled category)

--- Sample Make-up (likely vs registered / source of population stratification)

--- Sample Period (one day can make a difference / major news skews polls)

--- Sample Collection Method (telephone interviews vs. online data collection)

--- Sample Margin of Error (statistical tie 46 vs. 44 w/Moe 2; 46 vs. 41 w/Moe 5) 

--- Sample Outlier Results (Candidate 1: Poll 1 shows +4 while Poll 6 shows -7)

--- Plus other modeling issues... 

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